THE LIQTIDE SCORE: 30/100 — DRY SEASON — 15 OCT 2026
30/100DRY SEASON · TREND FALLING
The US Treasury pulled $34.8B out of the system in 7 days.
THE BOARD
| US NET LIQUIDITY | $5.86T | -$37.0B 4w |
| FED BALANCE SHEET | $6.75T | +$6.9B 4w |
| TREASURY WAR CHEST (TGA) | $920.2B | -$71.3B 4w |
| ON-RRP BUFFER | $201M | |
| STABLECOIN FLEET | $307.8B | -$1.8B 7d |
| BITCOIN | $81,481 | dominance 59.3% |
| SPOT ETF DESKS (5d NET) | -$263M |
SIGNALS
- RED · NETLIQ-DRAIN — US net liquidity 4-week change NEGATIVE (-$37.0B). Risk backdrop tightening.
- AMBER · RRP-EXHAUSTED — ON-RRP buffer nearly spent ($201M). No cushion left for the next drain.
- RED · STABLE-BURN — Stablecoin fleet shrank $1.8B in 7 days. Dry powder leaving the theater.
- AMBER · ETF-OUTFLOW — Spot BTC ETFs bled $263M over 5 sessions.
- RED · DOLLAR-SQUEEZE — Broad dollar in the top decile of its 1-year range. Offshore funding squeeze in effect.
THE READ
Dry season: more money is leaving the financial system than entering it. Risk assets are fighting the current until the flow turns. Trend: falling.
THE LIQTIDE SCORE™ IS A PROPRIETARY 0–100 COMPOSITE OF GLOBAL LIQUIDITY FLOWS (OPEN METHODOLOGY). DATA: FRED / US TREASURY / NY FED / DEFILLAMA / COINGECKO / STOOQ / FARSIDE. QUOTE FREELY — ATTRIBUTION: LIQTIDE.COM. ANALYTICAL VISUALIZATION OF PUBLIC DATA — NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.